Boyd ISD expected to add 400 students in 10 years

By Richard Greene | Published Saturday, December 23, 2017
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Boyd ISD is projected to gain 400 students over the next 10 years, according to the first report from Templeton Demographics.

The demographer told Boyd trustees at their December meeting that the district would reach an enrollment of 1,744 in the 2027-28 school year. The district currently has 1,335 students.

“In the next 10 years, you are going to grow about 400 kids. It’s not a matter of if, but when,” said demographer Trent Smith.

The district hired Templeton earlier in the fall to conduct the study and present the enrollment forecast.

“When addressing facility needs, this is the first step in the process,” said Boyd ISD Superintendent Ted West. “This will show us the numbers and where the growth will hit us first.

“We’re trying to put a scientific approach to seeing what our future looks like.”

The study projects steady growth in the district over the next 10 years, ranging from this year’s 7.23 percent to 1.22 percent in 2027-28.

“The numbers confirm what we knew,” West said. “We’re growing at a manageable rate. What makes Boyd different from a lot of the districts like us around here – rural districts near urban centers – is we’re not seeing a lot of new housing. There’s no big subdivisions. Most of the growth we’re seeing is with existing homes – people moving out that don’t have kids and being replaced by families with children in school.”

In 2017, 84 percent of home sales in Boyd ISD were sales of existing homes, as compared to 6.67 new homes. The average existing home price in the city is $245,365 and $312,946 for a new home.

Smith said the district currently has 80 lots available to build on. There are another 700 future homes planned with the district.

Over the past five years, the district has added 123 students. That growth has been buoyed by transfers into the district. Transfers currently make up 13 percent of the student body with 178 living outside the district. Eighty-five are transfers from Northwest ISD.

Boyd ISD has gained 26 transfers over the past five years.

Looking at current classes, the seventh grade is the district’s largest with 114 students. Smith anticipates the class to grow to 140 by its graduation in 2022-23.

This year’s freshman and sophomore classes also have more than 100 students currently.

The kindergarten class this year has 97 students.

Boyd Elementary has an enrollment of 438 and is expected to reach 503 in 10 years. Boyd Intermediate will gain 73 to 356, and the middle school 43 to 256 by 2027-28. Boyd High School will top out at 629, gaining 228 students in the next decade.

Smith warned the board that job growth in the region could alter the projections. West agreed.

“If a major corporation moves into North Texas, it could be a game changer for the whole region,” West said.

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