SPORTS HEADLINES

Padilla makes guesses on realignment

By Richard Greene | Published Saturday, January 28, 2012

Everyone has their guesses on how the University Interscholastic League’s realignment will turn out on Thursday.

San Antonio’s Carl Padilla, the mind behind the Padilla Poll, has made a reputation on his work of predicting the agency’s work. Starting in October after schools submitted their enrollments for the snapshot date, Padilla began crafting his mock realignment.

In 2010, Padilla said he was at 70 percent with his predictions.

For this year, he expects there to be some changes with the cutoffs of the top-end numbers for each of the top four classes rising. For 5A, he predicts the cutoff to land at 2,085. The cutoff at 4A, he set at 1,000. In 3A, he predicts 440, and 2A 200.

He left the Class A cutoff at 199.

“That was the hardest thing to predict, but I left the 1A number at 199,” Padilla said. “If you go to 204, you’d be adding 10 teams.”

PADILLA’S PREDICTIONS

Veteran handicapper Carl Padilla of San Antonio gives his best guess on how the UIL will realign local districts and classifications based on high-school enrollment.

2012 Range projection … 2010 Range by UIL

  • Class 5A … 2,085 and above … 2,065 and above
  • Class 4A … 1,000-2,084 … 990-2,064
  • Class 3A … 440-999 … 430-989
  • Class 2A, Div. I … 296-439 … 200-429
  • Class 2A, Div. II … 200-295 … N/A
  • Class 1A, Div. I … 152-199 … 199 and below
  • Class 1A, Div. II … 100-151 … N/A

CLASS 1A DIVISION II REGION I DISTRICT 5-1A

  • Chico
  • Collinsville
  • Lindsay
  • Trenton
  • Valley View

CLASS 2A DIVISION I REGION II DISTRICT 6-2A

  • Bowie
  • Boyd
  • Callisburg
  • Paradise
  • Pilot Point
  • Ponder
  • Whitesboro

CLASS 2A DIVISION II REGION I DISTRICT 4-2A

  • Alvord
  • Cisco
  • Henrietta
  • Holliday
  • Jacksboro
  • Millsap
  • Nocona
  • City View

CLASS 3A REGION I DISTRICT 7-3A

  • Argyle
  • Bridgeport
  • Decatur
  • Castleberry
  • Fort Worth Diamond
  • Hill-Jarvis
  • Lake Worth

CLASS 5A REGION I DISTRICT 5-5A

  • Colleyville Heritage
  • Grapevine
  • Irving
  • Irving MacArthur
  • Irving Nimitz
  • Euless Trinity
  • Hurst Bell
  • Northwest

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